ACCENT-Based Web Calculators to Predict Recurrence and Overall Survival in Stage III Colon Cancer
Identifieur interne : 000340 ( France/Analysis ); précédent : 000339; suivant : 000341ACCENT-Based Web Calculators to Predict Recurrence and Overall Survival in Stage III Colon Cancer
Auteurs : Lindsay A. Renfro [États-Unis] ; Axel Grothey [États-Unis] ; YUAN XUE [États-Unis] ; Leonard B. Saltz [États-Unis, France] ; Thierry Andre [France] ; Chris Twelves [Royaume-Uni] ; Roberto Labianca [Italie] ; Carmen J. Allegra [États-Unis] ; Steven R. Alberts [États-Unis] ; Charles L. Loprinzi [États-Unis] ; Greg Yothers [États-Unis] ; Daniel J. Sargent [États-Unis]Source :
- Journal of the National Cancer Institute [ 0027-8874 ] ; 2014.
Descripteurs français
- KwdFr :
- Adulte d'âge moyen, Estimation de Kaplan-Meier, Femelle, Grading des tumeurs, Humains, Internet, Logiciel, Mâle, Métastase lymphatique, Pronostic, Récidive tumorale locale (diagnostic), Stade de la tumeur, Sujet âgé, Survie sans rechute, Tumeurs du côlon (anatomopathologie), Tumeurs du côlon (diagnostic), Tumeurs du côlon (mortalité), Types de pratiques des médecins (tendances), Valeur prédictive des tests, États-Unis d'Amérique.
- MESH :
- anatomopathologie : Tumeurs du côlon.
- diagnostic : Récidive tumorale locale, Tumeurs du côlon.
- mortalité : Tumeurs du côlon.
- tendances : Types de pratiques des médecins.
- Pascal (Inist)
- Adulte d'âge moyen, Cancer du côlon, Estimation de Kaplan-Meier, Femelle, Grading des tumeurs, Humains, Internet, Facteur prédictif, Logiciel, Mâle, Métastase lymphatique, Pronostic, Prédiction, Récidive, Stade de la tumeur, Sujet âgé, Survie, Stade avancé, Cancérologie, Stade localement avancé, Survie sans rechute, Valeur prédictive des tests, États-Unis d'Amérique.
- Wicri :
- geographic : États-Unis.
English descriptors
- KwdEn :
- Advanced stage, Aged, Cancerology, Colon cancer, Colonic Neoplasms (diagnosis), Colonic Neoplasms (mortality), Colonic Neoplasms (pathology), Disease-Free Survival, Female, Humans, Internet, Kaplan-Meier Estimate, Locally advanced stage, Lymphatic Metastasis, Male, Middle Aged, Neoplasm Grading, Neoplasm Recurrence, Local (diagnosis), Neoplasm Staging, Practice Patterns, Physicians' (trends), Prediction, Predictive Value of Tests, Predictive factor, Prognosis, Relapse, Software, Survival, United States.
- MESH :
- geographic : United States.
- diagnosis : Colonic Neoplasms, Neoplasm Recurrence, Local.
- mortality : Colonic Neoplasms.
- pathology : Colonic Neoplasms.
- trends : Practice Patterns, Physicians'.
- Aged, Disease-Free Survival, Female, Humans, Internet, Kaplan-Meier Estimate, Lymphatic Metastasis, Male, Middle Aged, Neoplasm Grading, Neoplasm Staging, Predictive Value of Tests, Prognosis, Software.
Abstract
Background Current prognostic tools in colon cancer use relatively few patient characteristics. We constructed and validated clinical calculators for overall survival (OS) and time to recurrence (TTR) for stage III colon cancer and compared their performance against an existing tool (Numeracy) and American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) version 7 staging. Methods Data from 15936 stage III patients accrued to phase III clinical trials since 1989 were used to construct Cox models forTTR and OS. Variables included age, sex, race, body mass index, performance status, tumor grade, tumor stage, ratio of positive lymph nodes to nodes examined, number and location of primary tumors, and adjuvant treatment (fluoropyrimidine single agent or in combination). Missing data were imputed, and final models internally validated for optimism-corrected calibration and discrimination and compared with AJCC. External validation and comparisons against Numeracy were performed using stage III patients from NSABP trial C-08. All statistical tests were two-sided. Results All variables were statistically and clinically significant for OS prediction, while age and race did not predict TTR. No meaningful interactions existed. Models for OS andTTR were well calibrated and associated with C-indices of 0.66 and 0.65, respectively, compared with C-indices of 0.58 and 0.59 for AJCC. These tools, available online, better predicted patient outcomes than Numeracy, both overall and within patient subgroups, in external validation. Conclusions The proposed ACCENT calculators are internally and externally valid, better discriminate patient risk than AJCC version 7 staging, and better predict patient outcomes than Numeracy. These tools have replaced Numeracy for online clinical use and will aid prognostication and patient/physician communication.
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Affiliations:
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Pascal:15-0027078Le document en format XML
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<profileDesc><textClass><keywords scheme="KwdEn" xml:lang="en"><term>Advanced stage</term>
<term>Aged</term>
<term>Cancerology</term>
<term>Colon cancer</term>
<term>Colonic Neoplasms (diagnosis)</term>
<term>Colonic Neoplasms (mortality)</term>
<term>Colonic Neoplasms (pathology)</term>
<term>Disease-Free Survival</term>
<term>Female</term>
<term>Humans</term>
<term>Internet</term>
<term>Kaplan-Meier Estimate</term>
<term>Locally advanced stage</term>
<term>Lymphatic Metastasis</term>
<term>Male</term>
<term>Middle Aged</term>
<term>Neoplasm Grading</term>
<term>Neoplasm Recurrence, Local (diagnosis)</term>
<term>Neoplasm Staging</term>
<term>Practice Patterns, Physicians' (trends)</term>
<term>Prediction</term>
<term>Predictive Value of Tests</term>
<term>Predictive factor</term>
<term>Prognosis</term>
<term>Relapse</term>
<term>Software</term>
<term>Survival</term>
<term>United States</term>
</keywords>
<keywords scheme="KwdFr" xml:lang="fr"><term>Adulte d'âge moyen</term>
<term>Estimation de Kaplan-Meier</term>
<term>Femelle</term>
<term>Grading des tumeurs</term>
<term>Humains</term>
<term>Internet</term>
<term>Logiciel</term>
<term>Mâle</term>
<term>Métastase lymphatique</term>
<term>Pronostic</term>
<term>Récidive tumorale locale (diagnostic)</term>
<term>Stade de la tumeur</term>
<term>Sujet âgé</term>
<term>Survie sans rechute</term>
<term>Tumeurs du côlon (anatomopathologie)</term>
<term>Tumeurs du côlon (diagnostic)</term>
<term>Tumeurs du côlon (mortalité)</term>
<term>Types de pratiques des médecins (tendances)</term>
<term>Valeur prédictive des tests</term>
<term>États-Unis d'Amérique</term>
</keywords>
<keywords scheme="MESH" type="geographic" xml:lang="en"><term>United States</term>
</keywords>
<keywords scheme="MESH" qualifier="anatomopathologie" xml:lang="fr"><term>Tumeurs du côlon</term>
</keywords>
<keywords scheme="MESH" qualifier="diagnosis" xml:lang="en"><term>Colonic Neoplasms</term>
<term>Neoplasm Recurrence, Local</term>
</keywords>
<keywords scheme="MESH" qualifier="diagnostic" xml:lang="fr"><term>Récidive tumorale locale</term>
<term>Tumeurs du côlon</term>
</keywords>
<keywords scheme="MESH" qualifier="mortality" xml:lang="en"><term>Colonic Neoplasms</term>
</keywords>
<keywords scheme="MESH" qualifier="mortalité" xml:lang="fr"><term>Tumeurs du côlon</term>
</keywords>
<keywords scheme="MESH" qualifier="pathology" xml:lang="en"><term>Colonic Neoplasms</term>
</keywords>
<keywords scheme="MESH" qualifier="tendances" xml:lang="fr"><term>Types de pratiques des médecins</term>
</keywords>
<keywords scheme="MESH" qualifier="trends" xml:lang="en"><term>Practice Patterns, Physicians'</term>
</keywords>
<keywords scheme="MESH" xml:lang="en"><term>Aged</term>
<term>Disease-Free Survival</term>
<term>Female</term>
<term>Humans</term>
<term>Internet</term>
<term>Kaplan-Meier Estimate</term>
<term>Lymphatic Metastasis</term>
<term>Male</term>
<term>Middle Aged</term>
<term>Neoplasm Grading</term>
<term>Neoplasm Staging</term>
<term>Predictive Value of Tests</term>
<term>Prognosis</term>
<term>Software</term>
</keywords>
<keywords scheme="Pascal" xml:lang="fr"><term>Adulte d'âge moyen</term>
<term>Cancer du côlon</term>
<term>Estimation de Kaplan-Meier</term>
<term>Femelle</term>
<term>Grading des tumeurs</term>
<term>Humains</term>
<term>Internet</term>
<term>Facteur prédictif</term>
<term>Logiciel</term>
<term>Mâle</term>
<term>Métastase lymphatique</term>
<term>Pronostic</term>
<term>Prédiction</term>
<term>Récidive</term>
<term>Stade de la tumeur</term>
<term>Sujet âgé</term>
<term>Survie</term>
<term>Stade avancé</term>
<term>Cancérologie</term>
<term>Stade localement avancé</term>
<term>Survie sans rechute</term>
<term>Valeur prédictive des tests</term>
<term>États-Unis d'Amérique</term>
</keywords>
<keywords scheme="Wicri" type="geographic" xml:lang="fr"><term>États-Unis</term>
</keywords>
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</teiHeader>
<front><div type="abstract" xml:lang="en">Background Current prognostic tools in colon cancer use relatively few patient characteristics. We constructed and validated clinical calculators for overall survival (OS) and time to recurrence (TTR) for stage III colon cancer and compared their performance against an existing tool (Numeracy) and American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) version 7 staging. Methods Data from 15936 stage III patients accrued to phase III clinical trials since 1989 were used to construct Cox models forTTR and OS. Variables included age, sex, race, body mass index, performance status, tumor grade, tumor stage, ratio of positive lymph nodes to nodes examined, number and location of primary tumors, and adjuvant treatment (fluoropyrimidine single agent or in combination). Missing data were imputed, and final models internally validated for optimism-corrected calibration and discrimination and compared with AJCC. External validation and comparisons against Numeracy were performed using stage III patients from NSABP trial C-08. All statistical tests were two-sided. Results All variables were statistically and clinically significant for OS prediction, while age and race did not predict TTR. No meaningful interactions existed. Models for OS andTTR were well calibrated and associated with C-indices of 0.66 and 0.65, respectively, compared with C-indices of 0.58 and 0.59 for AJCC. These tools, available online, better predicted patient outcomes than Numeracy, both overall and within patient subgroups, in external validation. Conclusions The proposed ACCENT calculators are internally and externally valid, better discriminate patient risk than AJCC version 7 staging, and better predict patient outcomes than Numeracy. These tools have replaced Numeracy for online clinical use and will aid prognostication and patient/physician communication.</div>
</front>
</TEI>
<affiliations><list><country><li>France</li>
<li>Italie</li>
<li>Royaume-Uni</li>
<li>États-Unis</li>
</country>
<region><li>Île-de-France</li>
</region>
<settlement><li>Paris</li>
</settlement>
</list>
<tree><country name="États-Unis"><noRegion><name sortKey="Renfro, Lindsay A" sort="Renfro, Lindsay A" uniqKey="Renfro L" first="Lindsay A." last="Renfro">Lindsay A. Renfro</name>
</noRegion>
<name sortKey="Alberts, Steven R" sort="Alberts, Steven R" uniqKey="Alberts S" first="Steven R." last="Alberts">Steven R. Alberts</name>
<name sortKey="Allegra, Carmen J" sort="Allegra, Carmen J" uniqKey="Allegra C" first="Carmen J." last="Allegra">Carmen J. Allegra</name>
<name sortKey="Grothey, Axel" sort="Grothey, Axel" uniqKey="Grothey A" first="Axel" last="Grothey">Axel Grothey</name>
<name sortKey="Loprinzi, Charles L" sort="Loprinzi, Charles L" uniqKey="Loprinzi C" first="Charles L." last="Loprinzi">Charles L. Loprinzi</name>
<name sortKey="Saltz, Leonard B" sort="Saltz, Leonard B" uniqKey="Saltz L" first="Leonard B." last="Saltz">Leonard B. Saltz</name>
<name sortKey="Sargent, Daniel J" sort="Sargent, Daniel J" uniqKey="Sargent D" first="Daniel J." last="Sargent">Daniel J. Sargent</name>
<name sortKey="Yothers, Greg" sort="Yothers, Greg" uniqKey="Yothers G" first="Greg" last="Yothers">Greg Yothers</name>
<name sortKey="Yuan Xue" sort="Yuan Xue" uniqKey="Yuan Xue" last="Yuan Xue">YUAN XUE</name>
</country>
<country name="France"><region name="Île-de-France"><name sortKey="Saltz, Leonard B" sort="Saltz, Leonard B" uniqKey="Saltz L" first="Leonard B." last="Saltz">Leonard B. Saltz</name>
</region>
<name sortKey="Andre, Thierry" sort="Andre, Thierry" uniqKey="Andre T" first="Thierry" last="Andre">Thierry Andre</name>
</country>
<country name="Royaume-Uni"><noRegion><name sortKey="Twelves, Chris" sort="Twelves, Chris" uniqKey="Twelves C" first="Chris" last="Twelves">Chris Twelves</name>
</noRegion>
</country>
<country name="Italie"><noRegion><name sortKey="Labianca, Roberto" sort="Labianca, Roberto" uniqKey="Labianca R" first="Roberto" last="Labianca">Roberto Labianca</name>
</noRegion>
</country>
</tree>
</affiliations>
</record>
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